Ah, the whimsical world of altcoins, where a delightful 120-day downtrend cycle has waltzed into our lives since the dawn of 2024, with the Total3 index returning to its old haunts and the RSI flirting with range lows like a shy debutante at a ball.
It appears that the altcoin market, in all its capricious glory, is drawing the gaze of analysts anew, as they discern the repeated cadence of this 120-day cycle, which seems to dictate price action as surely as a conductor guides an orchestra.
Recent data from the Total3 index reveals a pattern akin to a romantic comedy: rallies followed by prolonged downtrends, each scenario more predictable than the last.
Now, those brave souls who dabble in the market are pondering whether this latest reset phase is poised to become yet another dramatic turning point, worthy of a Shakespearean tragedy.
The Perpetual 120-Day Downtrend: A Droll Recital Since 2024
The chronicles of market data since January 2024 unveil a recurring motif of vigorous advances quickly followed by protracted corrections in the enchanting realm of altcoins.
In the inaugural quarter of 2024, altcoins experienced a veritable feast of sharp gains, as capital pirouetted into higher-risk digital assets and trading volumes soared, reminiscent of a high-stakes game of musical chairs.
Market participants, like enthusiastic dancers, expanded across various sectors, and prices rose with abandon in what felt like an extravagant soirée.
This raucous revelry was, of course, succeeded by a downtrend lasting approximately 120 days-a slow and steady decline rather than a dramatic plunge. Short-term rebounds were sold into resistance with all the grace of a clumsy ballerina.
As the trading activity dulled in comparison to the exuberant rally phase, liquidity conditions tightened, and sentiment waned as participants retreated like timid mice.
A similar structure emerged later in the cycle, as a renewed rally graced the fourth quarter of 2025, only to be cruelly followed by another decline stretching into early 2026, much like a bad sequel.
The second pullback, a doppelgänger of the prior 120-day stretch, reinforced the notion of a time-based correction pattern that waltzes through the broader altcoin market cycle.
The Market’s Elegant Phases: Rally, Distribution, and the Indulgent Reset
Analysts, those diligent chroniclers of our financial fates, note that the market seems to move in blocks, following a sequence that resembles a well-rehearsed play: rally, distribution, slow decline, and reset.
Each phase possesses distinct price behaviors and momentum changes, as varied and entertaining as the characters in a Victorian novel.
ALTSEASON COMES IN WAVES
For the past two years, we have blissfully ignored this 120-day cycle that rears its head whenever optimism reaches fever pitch.
Not merely “a bad week.” Not “a red month.” A full-blown, melodramatic 4-month downtrend.
If you find yourself ensnared in drawdowns at present, consider this the first genuine reason to feel just a tad…
– Our Crypto Talk (@ourcryptotalk)
During the rally phases, capital flows into altcoins like confetti at a parade. Prices soar with glee, and trading volume flourishes.
However, the subsequent distribution phases often follow, as gains stabilize and volatility retreats, leaving behind a poignant silence.
The reset phase, dear reader, brings forth steady downward pressure, a season that can linger for several months, much to the chagrin of hopeful investors.
Alas, the current market seems to be ensconced within such a reset window, dictated by the whims of time and price structure.
Related Reading: 99% of Altcoins May Never Reach New Highs Again, Analyst Warns – A Cheerful Reminder!
Support Levels and Momentum Indicators: The Center of Attention
Total3 has returned to a support range that once served as a sturdy floor. Price reactions have pirouetted around this level before. Traders, ever vigilant, are keenly observing whether this zone will hold once more, like a loyal friend.
Momentum indicators, however, reveal a tale of extended weakness. The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, has been on a downward trajectory for months, now nestled near the lower echelons of its historical range.
Some market participants view this curious combination as a sign of selling fatigue-though, alas, no confirmation of a reversal has graced us as of yet.
Analysts point out that stabilization in Bitcoin could wield considerable influence over the broader altcoin movement, an intriguing prospect indeed.
The 120-day cycle pattern has appeared twice within the same broader market structure, a fascinating déjà vu.
Observers remain ever watchful, eager to see if the current phase transitions into renewed accumulation. For now, however, price action remains comfortably nestled within the established range.
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2026-02-15 16:48