Ah, Dash (DASH)! The coin that seems to have more ups and downs than a kangaroo on a pogo stick. In the past 24 hours, it has leaped a staggering 30%, and for the week, it’s up more than 33%-quite the performance for a coin that was just minding its own business at $68 before deciding to take a little breather. But don’t let that fool you; it’s still showing signs of strength, like a cat that has just spotted a laser pointer!
Now, hold your horses! This rally isn’t without its little hiccups. Some indicators seem to be waving red flags, declaring that momentum needs a bit of convincing before Dash can decide to make another grand move. But wait-several structural signals are looking suspiciously like a déjà vu moment from the last time we saw a 550% rally. It’s almost like watching a rerun of a soap opera where you know exactly what’s going to happen next!
Volume Fails to Support The Price Rise, Explaining the Pullback
Our trusty friend On-Balance Volume (OBV) has decided to join the party with a rather uninviting warning. This volume-based indicator is like that friend who tells you the truth when you really don’t want to hear it. OBV tracks whether buying or selling pressure is the life of the party. It adds volume on the good days and takes it away on the bad ones, which is great for figuring out if price spikes have any real backing.
Looking at Dash’s daily chart, OBV has been on a slow decline since mid-November, forming a trendline that looks more downcast than a puppy left alone in a car. So, when DASH peaked at $68, the price soared, but OBV wasn’t feeling it enough to break above that trendline. Think of it as Dash trying to fly with a broken wing-no wonder it stalled instead of soaring!
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In layman’s terms, buyers were all excited and pushed the price higher, but the volume was too shy to join the fun. This doesn’t mean the rally is doomed, but it does explain why a little pullback was practically on the cards, like a well-timed punchline. For DASH to regain its mojo, volume needs to show up like it just walked into a party wearing a sparkly jacket!
Money Flow Looks Possibly Stronger Than the Last 550% Fractal
While OBV was having its moment of weakness, Dash’s trend structure whispered sweet nothings of a more promising tale. During the January rally, DASH managed to reclaim all major exponential moving averages (EMAs) on the daily timeframe. EMAs are like the wise old sages of the trading world, giving more weight to recent prices and helping to spot trends faster than you can say “crypto volatility.”
Now Dash is dancing above the 20, 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs all at once-a sight that hasn’t happened since early October, just before it took a wild ride upwards of 550%. Ah, memories!
But there’s a twist this time: back then, the rally was fuelled by pure sentiment, much like a teenager at a concert. Privacy coins were popping off like popcorn in a microwave, while Zcash was making headlines. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) was as volatile as a cat in a room full of rocking chairs, frequently dipping below the zero line. CMF measures if capital is flowing in or out of an asset using both price and volume.
Fast forward to now, and CMF is holding above zero, compressing near its descending trendline like an overstuffed suitcase. If it breaks above that trendline, it would signal sustained capital inflows, not just speculative bursts. That, dear readers, would support a structurally driven rally instead of one powered solely by hype. And we all know how well hype holds up in the long run-like cotton candy in a rainstorm.
Balanced Leverage Keeps Risk Contained as DASH Price Levels Come Into Focus
The derivatives data has decided to join the fun, suggesting that the rally isn’t being packed like sardines in a can just yet. On Bybit alone, across the DASH/USDT perpetual pair, long and short exposure remains about as balanced as a tightrope walker with a good sense of balance. Liquidation levels on both sides are nearly identical-long leverage at $5.28 million and short leverage at $5.47 million.
This balance means there’s no immediate risk of a squeeze forcing the price to do the cha-cha in either direction. It’s like a calm sea before a storm, with DASH price having room to wiggle around organically. The key resistance zone is nestled between $61-$69, an area that DASH lost in November and has been trying to reclaim like a lost sock in the laundry.
A clean break and hold above $69 could launch us towards targets near $77, followed by a jump to $104, representing about a 73% upside from current levels. On the flip side, losing $51 would be like stepping on a rake-it could weaken the bullish structure and might send DASH tumbling toward the $35 region if the broader market decides to throw a tantrum.
So, in summary, Dash’s recent pullback was validated by the lack of volume confirmation, but the overall setup remains promising. The EMA alignment is giving off nostalgic vibes from that historical 550% rally, and capital flow appears healthier than it did during that wild ride. If volume and CMF play nice, DASH might not even need the help of sentiment to take off again. Who knows, maybe it’ll even start wearing a cape! 🦸‍♂️
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2026-01-14 13:28